http://sixman.guru/tags/march-madness/Recent content in March Madness on sixman.guruHugo -- 0.155.3en-usMon, 24 Mar 2014 21:41:58 +0000http://sixman.guru/posts/live-by-the-variance-die-by-the-variance-and-why-i-hate-duke-and-mercer-for-that-matter/Mon, 24 Mar 2014 21:41:58 +0000http://sixman.guru/posts/live-by-the-variance-die-by-the-variance-and-why-i-hate-duke-and-mercer-for-that-matter/<!-- AdSense Now! V3.40 --> <!-- Post[count: 1] --> <div class="adsense adsense-leadin" style="float:right;margin: 12px;"> <!-- Guru2013 --> </div><p>The first weekend of the NCAA Tournament was a wild one. In our competition, we chose models with high variance, knowing full well we could be in a world of hurt if a game or two did not go our way. Being scored on a log loss scale was new to us, and we knew of the risks, but did not really think things could get too bad.</p>